Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.051304 2.232239 2.425189 2.646822 2.895055 3.165292 3.482790
2025-11-30 1.819330 2.072020 2.357800 2.707107 3.125487 3.614212 4.233783
2025-12-07 1.631133 1.918138 2.256585 2.689424 3.234477 3.906506 4.811156
2025-12-14 1.486692 1.792418 2.164977 2.658999 3.306996 4.142642 5.326540
2025-12-21 1.344626 1.652971 2.038539 2.564761 3.278139 4.232709 5.644359
2025-12-28 1.268305 1.588228 1.998259 2.573696 3.379442 4.497992 6.225684
2026-01-04 1.211102 1.542421 1.976790 2.602396 3.505485 4.804004 6.896398
2026-01-11 1.163039 1.504276 1.961069 2.635029 3.636214 5.124875 7.624340
2026-01-18 1.118639 1.467380 1.943220 2.661124 3.756588 5.438072 8.375505
2026-01-25 1.072197 1.424229 1.912844 2.665028 3.841252 5.700545 9.071836
2026-02-01 1.011939 1.357869 1.844707 2.606582 3.822224 5.791413 9.476034
2026-02-08 0.963278 1.305322 1.793215 2.569140 3.832085 5.928406 9.977505
2026-02-15 0.923896 1.264982 1.758491 2.556933 3.884626 6.147550 10.673988
2026-02-22 0.907030 1.256762 1.771173 2.620222 4.067982 6.614421 11.927620
2026-03-01 0.871796 1.219135 1.736604 2.604171 4.113181 6.834980 12.712234
2026-03-08 0.836211 1.179162 1.696055 2.575119 4.132305 7.007380 13.419302
2026-03-15 0.789164 1.119552 1.621718 2.484672 4.033943 6.944259 13.593497
2026-03-22 0.767348 1.097923 1.606399 2.493255 4.116326 7.242422 14.641783
2026-03-29 0.750985 1.083961 1.602460 2.520811 4.235609 7.626666 15.963264
2026-04-05 0.736351 1.071975 1.600933 2.552139 4.364123 8.043691 17.446654
2026-04-12 0.721289 1.058568 1.596234 2.577186 4.482033 8.451039 18.988226
2026-04-19 0.703017 1.039163 1.580480 2.580934 4.557474 8.773309 20.366741
2026-04-26 0.674765 1.002404 1.533780 2.524830 4.506863 8.805548 20.931239